Background
There are critical gaps in our understanding of Streptococcus pyogenes (Strep A) transmission pathways in high-burden settings, frustrating the design of interventions to reduce transmission and disease burden. In particular, the relative roles of the different superficial Strep A infection types (pharyngitis, skin infections, throat carriage and skin colonisation) in sustaining transmission in these settings is unknown.
Methods
A recent genomic epidemiology method has been developed that is able to identify transmission links between infection isolates based on the similarity of Whole Genome Sequence data and time of isolation [1,2]. We extend this method to infer directionality of transmission links between isolates and apply it to isolates collected from a historical longitudinal household surveillance study in a remote Australian Aboriginal community [3]. We then calibrate a novel dynamic individual-based model of Strep A transmission to this transmission link data using an efficient Bayesian inference method [4] to quantify the relative infectiousness of throat carriage and skin infections in this setting.
Results
Our results indicate that Strep A throat carriage plays a significant role in the transmission of Strep A in this high burden setting, including in the persistence of skin infections.
Conclusion
Our findings suggest that treatment programs targeting both skin infections and throat carriage are likely necessary to reduce the burden of Strep A.