Background: The hypervirulent M1UK lineage of group A Streptococcus (GAS) has been associated with increased notifications of scarlet fever and invasive GAS (iGAS) infections. Following a sharp increase in the incidence of iGAS infections worldwide following the COVID-19 pandemic, we previously reported on the distribution of M1UK in Canada up to 2023. Here we provide an update on the prevalence of emm1/M1UK in Canada through 2024.
Methods: To date, we have performed whole genome sequencing (WGS) on (or received genomic data for) 4,579 iGAS isolates collected in 2024, including 1,215 emm1. M1UK isolates were identified by mapping WGS reads to reference strain MGAS5005 and identifying 27 characteristic single nucleotide variants. Statistical significance was assessed using the Cochran-Armitage trend test.
Results: Overall the prevalence of emm1 in 2024 has been high at 26.5%, a similar rate to 2023 (24.2%) and significant increase since 2020 (8.2%, P<0.0001). However, during 2024 the prevalence of emm1 decreased each quarter, starting at a high of 38.1% in January-March, 27.8% in April-June, 15.6% in July-September and hitting a low of 8.5% in October-December. Amongst emm1 isolates, the M1UK lineage has increased in prevalence since 2020, from 48.9% to 68.6% in 2024 (P<0.0001). Despite the gradual decrease in emm1 prevalence in 2024, the proportion of M1UK has remained consistent, ranging from 67-73% of emm1 each quarter.
Conclusions: Despite gradually decreasing throughout the year, emm1 prevalence remained high in Canada in 2024. M1UK was the most common emm1 lineage and continues to replace the M1global lineage in Canada.